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SOME ECONOMISTS SAY HOUSING MARKET BOTTOM MAY BE IN SIGHT!

Nice, compelling headline . . . YES?

Well, don't get too excited, folks.  The bottom is likely not IMMEDIATELY in sight, but it is possible, sometime in 2009.

At the National Association of Homebuilders Conference last week, several of the econmists who attended saw a bit of hope on the horizon.  "I'm hopeful threat the markets will come to their senses soon," said Michael Moran of Daiwa Securities America at the Conference last week. 

Moran and others point to the Fed's Bailout Plan, including the government purchase of bad mortgage debt, will help housing recovery.

David Seiders, Chief Economist for the NAHB, feels that pent-up demand, along with declining prices, promotional incentives, dropping numbers of housing starts, and predicted rate moderation for mortgage loans, should help create market rebound sometime in 2009.

Be cautious, however, and not too optimistic!  Many economists point to several factors that could delay the housing market rebound.

First of all, the U.S. Unemployment Rate is up nearly 39% compared to last year, currently 6.1%.  It may reach as high as 8% next year, some experts predict.  Nationally, median home prices have fallen 20% from their peak in 2005, but will probably decline another 10% or so before stabilizing, others say.

Across the country, roughly 12 Million homeowners are currently under water on their mortgages - they owe more on their home than its current market value.  Thousands more foreclosures are likely well into next year.

And, importantly, supplies of homes for sale is bloated in most U.S. Metro Markets, including Chicago.  Supply is expected to out pace demand for at least another year, perhaps longer.

So the pain of perhaps millions of U.S. Homeowners close to default, and in danger of losing their homes, is far from over. 

When the market does rebound, homes will likely be worth considerably less than they were at the peak of the recent boom - but they will be more affordable.  Loans will be available - but only to those with qualifying credit and moderate equity available.

But, eventually - hopefully, sooner rather than later, the downward spin of the housing market will ease, and the housing market will return to something that resembles comparative normalcy?

You think?  Hope so!

See our post today via BlogChicagoHomes.com for more, as well as a link to June Fletcher's story in yesterday's Wall Street Journal.

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO

CAN ONLINE MORTGAGE LENDERS REALLY SAVE YOU MONEY?

Hey, Gang!

You've seen the commercials on TV and on the Internet - low rates on new and refinanced mortgage loans.  Many are lower than what local Loan Brokers, and many banks, seem to be offering these days.

But are these offers on the level?  And, will someone be there to service your loan at closing if the terms are different than was earlier agreed?

All of this comes in a lending environment where low-rate loans may truly be hard to find.  Many home borrowers today with mid-level credit and less-than-25% down payments are finding higher rates and fees, and tighter loan requirements.

Indeed, many prospective home buyers, as well as our Team advising our own clients, rely on Banks or Mortgage Brokers to shop lenders for the best rate.  Currently, the average 5/1 Adjustable Rate Mortgage is 6.01% nationally. 

Some online lenders, however, such as online-only bank ING Direct, presently offer rates as low as 5.25% APR for essentially the same product.  E-Loan, Emigrant Savings, and MTG Capital offer similar rates.  These rates apply, mind you, typically apply to applicants with strong FICO Credit Scores - typically 700 or over.

Many of the discount-rate lenders do not have a costly branch office presence, and their overhead is lower.  This allows them to quote lower rates and still make a profit on the loan.

According to ING Direct President and CEO Arkadi Kuhlman, his firm holds many of these discounted-rate loans in their own portfolios.  "I don't want to underwrite mortgages I can't keep," says Kuhlman.  

He continues that his firm's lower rates are possible since he doesn't have to pay the hundreds of employees and branch operating expenses that the big lenders have to pay.

The theory behind the 5/1 ARM loan has to do with the fact that the average American homeowner these days still moves every 5 to 7 years.  For these borrowers, the added cost of a higher-rate 30-year fixed loan may be a waste of money.

What happens, however, if you DO NOT move before the rate adjustment period expires?  Do you risk a far-higher rate with the reset?

The answer - YES, you would shoulder that risk. 

So a buyer unsure about how long he will stay in the home need be careful.  If the example loan were to adjust today, the 5.25% rate would increase to near today's rate of 6.01%.  However, no one can accurately predict where mortgage interest rates will land fie years from now.

Customer Serviceis often another concern.  Our Team can recite a dozen or so horror stories over the years, where our clients signed on with a supposedly-less-expensive online lender, only to find closing fees and points pushed the final loan far higher than anticipated. 

At the closing table, a call to the Online Lender's Customer Service Number was met with music-on-hold for what seemed like forever, followed by no resolution.

Using local Loan Brokers, whose livelihood is dependent on referrals from the Buyer's Real Estate Agent, may be more likely to make sure the closing loan terms are identical to those previously agreed to.

However, you can't ignore money saved these days.  A smart home buyer might want to compare more than one source for funding a home loan.   Close examination of the federally-required Truth in Lending (TIL) Statement from each lender, provided soon after the loan application is made, will uncover "surprise" charges, rates, or fees.

See our post today @ BlogChicagoHomes.com for more, as well as a link to Mary Pilon's post on "The Wallet" Blog in yesterday's Wall Street Journal.

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO 

IN CHICAGO, KEY HOME PRICE INDEX DOWN VS. LAST YEAR - But Better Than Many Other Metro Areas!

A widely-regarded index of home values indicates a downward trend in Chicago Metro Area Housing Prices since August of last year - but many other Metro Areas across the country have fared worse!

The latest S & P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index studies average home price levels in 20 of the largest Metro Markets nationally.  The index compares current prices to a January 2000 base level, and calculates change in that index month-to-month.  August 2008 is the latest for which this index data is available.

In aggregate, the 20 Top U.S. Metro Areas showed an index drop of 16.6% within the past year, and a 1.0% drop between July and August of this year.  Here in the Chicago Area, the index fell a comparatively low 9.8% year to year.  Between July and August 2008, the index was flat for Chicago - comparatively encouraging news these days.

The current Chicago index stands at 149.53 - theoretically, a house selling for $100,000 in January 2000, would sell for $149,530 today.

The 20-Market Case-Shiller Index has been declining for 20 consecutive months.  For the fifth straight month, every region analyzed showed a year-to-year index decline.  Only two of the 20 studied Metro Areas showed index improvement between July and August - Cleveland, with a 1.1% price gain, and Boston, with a month-to-month gain of 0.1%.

Metro Areas declining the most between July and August 2008 were San Francisco, with a 3.5% month-to-month index decline, followed by Phoenix, Las Vegas, and San Diego - each of these markets had price index declines exceeding 2%.

Year to year, Dallas TX and Charlotte NC showed the slowest index decline - respectively, 2.7% and 2.8%.

The latest Case-Shiller Data come on the heals of improving sales of both new and resale homes, with data released over the last few days indicating new home sales improved nationally 2.7% during September, and U.S. Resales improving 1.4% during the same month.   Experts suggest that quickly-tumbling prices on many homes are beginning to attract bargain hunters now.

However, high inventories of homes-for-sale remain, with a bloated 15-month inventory level here in the North and Northwest Side of Chicago Neighborhoods we serve frequently.  Here in Chicago, and elsewhere across the U.S., credit remains tight, mortgage approval standards very stringent, and the threat of job losses and high rates of unemployment very real to many.

Interest rates remain high for now - although the continued lowering of the Fed Funds Rate may have a positive impact for some, especially those who consider an adjustable-rate loan tied to this benchmark.  The Federal Reserve Board is expected to trim the Fed Funds Rate another 1/2 percent when it concludes its meeting tomorrow, from its current 1.5% level, to 1.0%.

Please see our post today @ BlogChicagoHomes.com for more, including a link to a story by Donna Kardos in today's Wall Street Journal.  Here's a summary chart and trends graph for the Top 20 U.S. Metro Areas included in the Case-Shiller Index.

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO

DO YOU HAGGLE? On Everyday Things? More and More Do!

Good Morning, All!

I'd like to set a scene for you.

You walk into a shoe store, or the neighborhood coffee house, or an electronics store to buy that new wide-screen HDTV (you know, the one that I spent over $2,000 on a couple of years ago, and is now about $500!).  Do you negotiate or haggle at all on the price?

No? 

Well, wait a minute - don't you shop at this establishment all the time?  Don't you deserve a bit of a break for being a loyal customer?

Although haggling is a way of life in many countries, it has not a way of life here in the U.S. as it has elsewhere.  Why not?  Perhaps many Americans feel it to be demeaning, beneath them.  Even a sign of neediness to try to negotiate.

Of course, most business people negotiate every single day - for advertising, supplies, salaries on new hires, and the like.  Most everyone negotiates, or thinks they are negotiating, the best price on a new or used vehicle.  But beyond that, here in the U.S. - very little.

Michael Lee, in his 2007 book Black Belt Negotiating (American Management Association) summarizes a different approach to buying everyday items in more affluent countries, like the U.S.  Here, we consumers often have more money than time.  In other places, the opposite is true - buyers have more time than money.

Think back to your last trip to Mexico, or the Caribbean, or Asia.  Someone tries to sell you a trinket or souvenir at a market, or on the street.  If you pay what they ask without resistance or negotiation - the vendor laughs all the way to the bank, and talks about it all day with his fellow vendors!

Now, however, especially in light of the recent economic downturn, more Americans are haggling for merchandise than they may have ever haggled!  According to a survey conducted by BI Gresearch last April, roughly half of U.S. Consumers are attempting to negotiate better prices on everything from car repairs to electronics and appliance purchases.  A recent British survey nearly 60% of those responding said they are more likely to price negotiate now than they were six months ago.

One Chicago Musician, Eli Blair, who performs under the stage name "Ellie May," recently worked out a better deal on a $499 bass at Guitar Center.  She ended up paying $410 for the instrument, and even got the sales person to throw in a $100 hard case as part of the package!

"All you have to do is ask," advised Blair.

Margot Bogue, Senior Vice President of Cramer-Krasselt Advertising here in Chicago, sees more consumers gaining the confidence to negotiate every day purchases.  The firm is suggesting its clients adopt a more flexible, employee-empowered pricing structure, to give their customers the psychological and economic "victory" they now crave when they buy.

The rise of the Internethas fueled buyer confidence in price negotiation on every day or special-purchase items.  Online shoppers can perform detailed price research on virtually every available product before entering a store.  Many stores, including Home Depot, Best Buy, and Ritz Camera, have low price guarantees, and empower their own front-line employees to discount prices, to a certain degree, to complete a sale.

Buying merchandise online?   Here's a money-saving tip:  before you hit the "Confirm Purchase" buttonon an e-tailer website, open up another browser window and Google discounts for the item you are considering.  For example, entering "HP Discounts" can provide a whole list of discount coupon codes that you can then cut and paste into the "Enter Promotional Code" box on most websites.   The potential savings - anything from Free Shipping, to perhaps as much as 25% off your total purchase.

Again, you never know until you try!

Even beleaguered U.S. Auto Maker General Motors, with their recently-publicized "Employee Pricing for Everyone" promotion started many to ask for the "Employee Price" at other retailers as well.   Most retailers have some sort of "Employee Discount," and, in order to make a sale, many store managers will give buyers who ask for it a similar discount.

Of course, there are variances on negotiating tactics.

One Maryland resident recently negotiated down the price of a steak dinner at a restaurant, and got considerable discounts on several women's clothing stores.  Another Chicago shopper looks for "scratch and dent" or "worn" items, and works a good deal over the defect. 

One lady from the Chicago Suburb of Wilmette IL saved $200 on a mattress, box spring, bed frame, and delivery by threatening to walk out of an American Mattress store.  The same lady negotiated an upgrade to a more expensive carpet at a Lowe's store, using the same drama.

Abt Electronics of Glenview IL has been serving the Chicago area for over 70 years, and prides itself on offering the best price and free delivery.  Abt is the largest single-store appliance and electronics retailer in the U.S. 

Even so, however, Abt General Manager Marc Cook is willing to negotiate, within reason, to complete a sale.  "If people have a reasonable request when it comes to pricing, we would rather have them leave satisfied than spend money on gas going elsewhere," said Cook. "But we're looking for them to be as reasonable as they are looking for us to be."

So . . . do you dicker?  Daily?  Will you now?

See our post via BlogChicagoHomes.com for more info, as well as a link to Susan Chandler and Wailin Wong's story in the October 19th edition of the Chicago Tribune.

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO

I'M SURE CHICAGO IS NOT ALONE HERE - CTA Renovation Project Not Only Over Budget, But Work is SLOPPY!

Evening, folks!

Stories like this stir my ire - not only because they make my home town of Chicago look quite foolish, but the tax dollars they have used is coming out of our collective pockets!

By the end of 2008, most of the work on the Chicago Transit Authority highly-touted Brown Line L Renovation Project will be complete.  The cost to Chicago, and IL, Taxpayers - roughly, $530 Million, give or take a couple of pennies.

Here on the North Side of Chicago, our Brown Line L is not the most ridden line, but traffic is substantial.  Every workday, 68,000 passengers ride the Chicago Transit Authority Brown Line L, running through the North and Northwest Side of Chicago Neighborhoods of Albany Park, Lincoln Square, Lakeview, Lincoln Park, Old Town, and River North before heading to the famous Elevated Structure encircling The Chicago Loop.

When renovation is complete, the CTA will have completely renovated the 18 stations on the Line.  The new stations add larger platforms to accommodate longer trains, and more modern entry areas, many including renovation of the original, century-old station houses. 

But if you look closely, you can find some design flaws and construction shortcuts that may impact rider comfort, and the long-term durability of each Brown Line stop.

There is already many signs of rusting metal trim - while the original plan called for using stainless steel on platform railings and canopy decks, cheaper galvanized steel, susceptible to rusting, was used instead, as a cost-saving move.  Wood splintering is already evident on new station platforms.

At the new Southport Avenue Station, four blocks from Wrigley Field in the Lakeview Neighborhood of Chicago, rivets are corroding pre-maturely, as workers used the wrong fasteners on some of the windbreak panels.

According to Bob Wittman, Brown Line Project Manager and CTA General Manager of Construction, issues involving rust and corrosion of metal will be corrected.  Other flaws, however, will not be fixed, as the agency economizes in advance of next year's budget, containing nearly $152 Million in budget cuts.

One example - the CTA saved money on painting the elevated structure by reducing the areas of metal to be painted.  Deterioration will likely become evident after a few freeze-thaw cycles of the notorious Chicago winter.

Canopies protecting riders from the elements were reduced in size to the equivalent of two train car lengths, despite the fact the new, longer platforms can now accommodate eight-car trains.  With more exposed platform area, CTA Maintenance Personnel will need to be more vigilant removing puddling water and built-up ice creating potential slip-and-fall hazards on the platforms.

Many riders have already complained that several of the new stations lack heated shelters to protect customers from cold wind and chilly temperatures during the winter months. 

Some stations, including the Rockwell Street Station in the Ravenswood Gardens Neighborhood, have new shelters, but they are not equipped with heaters.  Les Kinskern, Former President of the Greater Rockwell Organization, says the new roofing materials cannot tolerate high temperatures generated by the heating lamps.

Many of the cutbacks and cost saving moves were implemented by Former CTA President Frank Kruesi, who slashed project costs several years ago as bids for the Brown Line L overhaul came in higher than expected.

Today, CTA Officials contend the major Brown Line renovation was placed in front of other Chicago mass transit improvements to stay ahead of growing population in the neighborhoods served by the L.  Detractors of the project, however, point to the fact that extra capacity is only needed during peak rush hour periods - no more than two hours or so each day.

In any event, it galls me, and those we know here in Chicago, that the Third Largest U.S. City continues such sloppy work in its expensive public projects.

Does this kind of thing just happen here - or do you have a similar story from YOUR town?

Please share - so I know I'm not alone in my angst!

See our post via BlogChicagoHomes.com from last Saturday, October 25th for a bit more detail, as well as a link to Jon Hilkevitch's "Getting Around" Blog Post in the October 20th edition of the Chicago Tribune.

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO

Chicago IL Market Statistics Update - October 27, 2008

Good Morning!

Here's the latest Stat Summary on the Chicago Real Estate Market, based on data pulled yesterday evening, October 26, 2008 - 

Active Listing Inventory very slightly down from last week in the North and Northwest Side of Chicago Communities we serve most frequently - it has been virtually flat over the last couple of months.  Pending Sales showed a welcome rebound - perhaps, as prices become more affordable, and buyers begin to learn their lending options, sales are picking up a bit,

Closed Properties rebounded as well, ahead of the usual end-of-month increase - encouraging!   Expired Listings countered last week's decline.   Average Sales Price just slightly down - perhaps prices are beginning to form a bottom, but we can't say for sure, as demand has not yet picked up considerably.  Average Market Time up once again, which concerns me, especially headed into the colder months here in Chicago, while Sales Volume came back substantially from last week's slide.

Absorption Rate, or theoretical time to clear existing listing inventory, was slightly up once again this week - now 15.26 months.  Inventory levels remain high in the Chicago Neighborhoods we serve.  The Percentage of Sale Within Six Month (180 Days) continued to improve this week, suggesting right-priced listings do indeed sell within a normal, six-month marketing time frame. 

Here are archived annual Chicago Neighborhood Statistics, including Units Sold and Price Trends Data, for 1992 through 2007, courtesy of The Chicago Association of Realtors. 

Communities and clients we serve, reside, or plan to reside, in the Chicago Neighborhoods of The Chicago Loop, The Gold Coast, River North, Lincoln Park, Lakeview, Uptown, Edgewater, North Center, Lincoln Square, Albany Park, Ravenswood, Wicker Park, and Bucktown.  

Also, these Great Chicago Neighborhoods: Logan Square, Rogers Park , West Ridge, Portage Park, Jefferson Park, Norwood Park, Sauganash, Edgebrook,and Edison Park.   Plus All Chicago Suburbs

SINGLE FAMILY, CONDOS, AND SMALL MULTI-UNIT PROPERTIES - NORTH SIDE OF CHICAGO, NORTH OF ADDISON STREET, WEST OF ASHLAND AVENUE

                                ACTV LISTINGS        JUST SOLD         CLOSED        EXPIRED

w/e October 27th               4,943                   36                         61                56

w/e October 20th               4,997                   29                         51                50

% CHANGE                         -1.1%               +24.1%                  +19.6%        +12.0%

CLOSED PROPERTIES DATA

                              AVG SALE PRICE     AVG DAYS ON MKT     TOTAL VOLUME   

w/e October 27th          $334,043              181 DAYS                      $20,376,623

w/e October 20th          $338,523              161 DAYS                      $17,264,673

% CHANGE                     -1.3%                  +12.4%                             +18.0%

THEORETICAL TIME TO CLEAR EXISTING INVENTORY (ABSORPTION RATE) -

w/e October 27th - LAST 12 MOS - 15.89   LAST 6 MOS - 14.31    LAST 3 MOS - 15.26

w/e October 20th - LAST 12 MOS - 16.10     LAST 6 MOS - 14.43   LAST 3 MOS - 15.02

PERCENT OF HOMES SELLING IN 180 DAYS - 

w/e October 27th - 38.29% (UNSOLD - 61.71%) 

w/e October 20th - 37.40% (UNSOLD - 62.60%)

 SOURCE: MIDWEST REAL ESTATE DATA LLC, AREA MARKET SURVEY DATA

Review our Chicago IL Real Estate Stats Pack Archive via BlogChicagoHomes.com. 

Call our Team anytime for current trends in any Chicago Neighborhood or Chicago Suburb! 

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO

WITH LOWER GAS PRICES - Where is the Housing Market Headed? How About Things in General?

Hope you're enjoying your Sunday afternoon, folks!

At a family BBQ I attended last Summer, my cousin Bob came up to me and pulled me aside.  Never shy with his opinion on the Chicago Real Estate Market, Bob suggested -

"When the price of gas drops below $3.00 per gallon,"  Cousin Bob said.  "THAT'S when the Real Estate Market around here will start to recover!"

The price of a barrel of crude oil was near its all-time high of $145 back then - it has since fallen by more than half, to around $64, as of the close of the markets on Friday.  At the BBQ last Fourth of July, a gallon of regular gas cost $4.50/gallon in Chicago - it's about $3.35 right now.

But I feel the point he was trying to make was that the decline in the price of a gallon of gasoline would ease the economic fears of Americans, put a few more discretionary bucks back in their pockets, and get them to say, "OK, the economy will pull through this!  Let's look for our new house now!"

What has happened since Bob and I talked during the heat of the Chicago Summer?

A massive U.S. Housing Relief Bill - whose full effects are not yet known.  A $700 Billion Financial Rescue/Bailout Plan - whose full effects are not yet known.

Increasing unemployment.  Rising numbers of foreclosuresStill-sky-high levels of homes-for-sale inventory in many Metro Areas across the U.S., including Chicago.  Falling home prices.

But still no recovery immediately seen for the Housing Market!   Although, there are some signs of improvement, especially in the hardest-hit markets in California, Florida, Michigan, and Nevada - areas where the price balloon inflated most quickly, and popped just as swiftly, as prices here hit near the basement in recent weeks.

Indeed, the plunging price in a gallon of gasoline - to roughly $64 at the market close last Friday - has put more discretionary money in the pockets of American consumers.  Even the OPEC Cartel, cutting production by a significant 1.5 Million barrels of oil daily effective November 1st, hasn't stopped plummeting oil prices short term.  This, despite the fact that the 13 Member Nations of OPEC account for about one-third of the world's total supplies of crude oil.

According to Francisco Blach, Head of Commodities Research at Merrill Lynch in London, "It follows that there's going to be some spending effect."

Within the last few weeks, Oil Demand in the U.S. has dropped 10%, says the U.S Department of Transportation.  Last August, Americans drove 15 Billion fewer miles,  a drop of 5.6%, versus this time last year.   That's the largest single month decline, year over year, the agency has ever recorded!

Want more figures?  U.S. Drivers have logged 78 Billion fewer miles during the first 10 months of 2008, compared to the first 10 months of last year.  Many experts feel the price of gas surpassing $4.00 per gallon earlier this year has dramatically altered driving patterns - perhaps on a permanent basis! 

Julian Lee, Senior Energy Analyst with the Center for Global Energy Studies in London, observes, "We are seeing changes in habits. The sales of big gas-guzzling vehicles have collapsed. If we see that kind of change it becomes a much longer term issue with long-term demand destruction."

Ken Medlock, an Energy Fellow at the Baker Institute at Rice University in Houston TX, uses this simple formula -

"The average driver goes about 12,000 miles a year at 20 miles per gallon," says Medlock.  "If gasoline drops $1.50, the $900 that Joe Average Driver saves would amount to a big stimulus package."  Further, because we're already past the peak summer driving season right now, there isn't too much of an immediate reason right now to drive more simply because gas prices have fallen.

Ed Leamer, Director of the UCLA Anderson Forecast, says the current tumble in the price of gas could put as much as $250 Billion into the wallets of drivers.  He estimates second quarter personal spending for gasoline, fuel oil, and other energy was about $442 Billion, annualized.

Will the savings consumers enjoy translate into a rebounding housing market?

Apparently, not yet, as high for-sale inventory, coupled with tougher standards for approving most new mortgage loans and re-finances, have not been touched by dropping prices in the oil markets.

According to Medlock, lower oil prices will be good news for the U.S. Consumer, who would enjoy more disposable income - assuming they are still employed.  But alone, he continues, lower oil prices will not get the country out of the current Credit Crisis, or create a Housing Market rebound overnight.

See our post today via BlogChicagoHomes.com for more,as well as a link to a story and accompanying video from Vivienne Walt and her story on Time.com.

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO

SELLING "AS-IS" - Does That Still Work Today?

Good afternoon from Windy Chicago, Donkeys and Elephants (and assorted other animules) -

The two words for this afternoon - "AS-IS".   If you are a Real Estate Professional, is it wise to use these words to describe your listing?  Home Buyers - how do YOU react when you see these two little words?  Neither buying, selling or working in Real Estate right now - what do these words mean to you?

As a Real Estate Listing Agent, I only use the words "AS-IS" on the MLS and in property promotion and marketing if the property is a burned out home, or an estate sale with no surviving family around to clean and fix it up.  I advise my clients these two little words can have a more powerful NEGATIVE impact than those three famous words - "I Love You!" - have a potentially very POSITIVE impact.

Saying "AS-IS," I explain, implies DESPERATION - that you want to sell at ANY price. "Lowball Me."  It also says the property is in absolutely horrible condition, even if it is not, and that could thwart otherwise-qualified showings.

Some might not even inquire about a showing on an "AS-IS" listing - and Listing Agents would not even know it, because they didn't get the call, email, or website click.

Those that DO make an offer usually make one that touches the sub-basement, and these potential buyers are hesitant to come up on their offering price, because they, again, see desperation.

Buyers - or you civilians in general - do you feel the same?

In today's market here in Chicago and nearby, there is an exploding number of short sale properties (those whose ultimate sales prices will likely be below the outstanding mortgage balance), bank-owned foreclosed properties, and other distressed properties, whose owners may be in the midst of a divorce or other life-rattling event.

As such, many of their Listing Agents warn boldly, "AS-IS".  The sellers, or the lenders, don't even want to entertain later claims for credit or repair during the five-day post-contract inspection period here.

Some of these properties are in rough shape - but some are fine, ranging from somewhat messy, to pristine.  But still, the "AS-IS" tag hangs around their necks!

Often times, in practice,  buyers that do view the properties first offer low - and then ask for repairs ANYWAY!

Ultimately, the question becomes whether using "AS-IS"language in a listing does more harm than good.  If you avoid the two little words in printed advertising and on the MLS, you can still state your "AS-IS" case VERBALLY to the buyer or their agent before or when they present their contract.

But at least you'll get an offer you can react to - rather than a buyer who walked before hand.  A buyer neither you nor the seller will ever know!

Your take on this?  Please share!

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO

HOW THINGS HAVE CHANGED - Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan Now "The ENEMY"?

It really is a different world, folks!

Many things have really changed since Former Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan stepped down in January, 2006. 

Greenspan, once highly respected as an "oracle" for the economy, is now having his decisions as Fed Chairman second-guessed by Federal Legislators scrambling to resolve today's credit crisis.

Friday, during testimony to the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, he expressed "shocked disbelief" at the breakdown of the credit markets.  This has triggered "a once-in-a-lifetime tsunami" inflicting great damage on the U.S. Economy, he continued.

Mr. Greenspan's appearance was his first before Congress since the current financial crisis began last month.

Last March, the former Fed Chairman expressed surprise that this crisis could even develop.  As he was questioned Friday, he admitted that the current crisis points up flaws in his low-intervention free-market strategy.

Said Greenspan, "Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholder equity are in a state of shocked disbelief.  Such counter-party surveillance is a central pillar of our financial markets' state of balance.  If it fails, as it did this year, market stability is undermined."

California Democrat and Committee Chairman Henry Waxman, was direct in his criticism of Greenspan's policies.  "For too long, the prevailing attitude in Washington has been that the market always knows best," he said. "The Federal Reserve had the authority to stop the irresponsible lending practices that fueled the sub-prime mortgage market. But its longtime chairman, Alan Greenspan, rejected pleas that he intervene."

Continued Waxman, "The list of regulatory mistakes and misjudgments is long, and the cost to taxpayers and our economy is staggering."  He identified Greenspan as "perhaps the leading proponent of deregulation of our financial markets."

As we all know, current Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, and others in the Bush Administration, have recently spearheaded a massive rescue program for the U.S. Financial System, and increased market intervention, regulation, and oversight - not favored during Greenspan's tenure

What say you?  Was Greenspan's attitude of "If It Ain't Broke" the main culprit in today's financial woes?

Please share!

See our post yesterday @ BlogChicagoHomes.com for more, as well as a link to story, with accompanying video, by Jim Puzzanghera's in Friday's Chicago Tribune.

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO

CHICAGO NEIGHBORHOOD NEWS - October 24, 2008

Here's our Team Member Jennifer Arcand and her weekly rundown of Chicago and Chicago Suburban Neighborhood News.

This week, Jennifer talks about these Chicago Neighborhoods - The Loop, The Gold Coast, Lincoln Park, and Norwood Park, as well as the Western Chicago Suburb of Oak Park IL.

GOLD COAST

Bob Patrizi and Greg Levy are expanding their chain of Halo [for Men] salons from three to six, despite the state of the economy.

"Everybody's going to need a haircut, and our clientele is people who are doing well," Patrizi, Halo's owner said.  Hiis customers don't mind spending $45 for a styling with include extras, such a scalp massages.

Building out the 3,000-square-foot Gold Coast space cost $175,000 in 2007.  Male patrons can indulge in a movie, play a game on the Wii or read a magazine by the koi pond.

Click here to read about future plans and locations.

LINCOLN PARK

Baking bread at home can be a most satisfying way to spend an afternoon, especially when it is shared at mealtime or given as gifts for friends or neighbors.

With just four major basic ingredients, yeast, water, flour and salt, how you prepare it is key.

We've come up with a list of essential, simple home baking with professional-like results.  We asked bread experts to share a few of their best tips for bread making.

Chef Laurent Gras along with his team bake up to seven different breads per day for the dinner menu at Lincoln Park's L20.  His secret for creating crisp-crusted, deeply colored loaves?

Click here to read more.

CHICAGO LOOP

The Chicago Tribune recently sought out bumper stickers throughout the Loop and up and down the lakefront, and discovered that the vast majority of cars did not display any. 

Of the 1,050 vehicles examined in the quick survey, only 55 had at least one sticker. The bumpers on the other 95 percent were bare.

Elsewhere there are still a lot of bumper stickers.  In Ohio, Jeremy Wallach, a cultural anthropologist at Bowling Green State University, says he still sees many stickers promoting political candidates, but the numbers are declining.

Gill Studios Inc. based in a suburb of Kansas City, Kansas, is the facility where the modern bumper sticker was invented in the late 1940s.  They continue to sell millions of stickers each year, says chairman Mark Gilman.  Sales have dropped a bit.  Even he has noticed the lack of use of the stickers on bumpers.

Why has sticker usage on bumpers apparently dropped?  No one seems to know for sure.

Click here for additional information.

NORWOOD PARK

The Norwood Park Train Station Foundation is asking hundreds of runners and walkers around Norwood Park's Circle Avenue Oct. 25 to join in its annual 5K fundraiser for "Going in Circles."

The event is scheduled to step off at 11 a.m. from the intersection of Northcott and West Circle avenues, rain or shine.  The course will have runners and walkers making three revolutions around the "track" and will end where it began.

Last-minute registrations are still available.  The registration fee is $20 if you register online ahead of time at www.runrace.net.  The fee on the day of the race is $35.  There is no charge for children 11 years old or younger.  Participating runners will receive a free T-shirt upon payment.

Proceeds will benefit the Norwood Park Train Station, which was originally built in 1907.  A $1 million renovation project was completed earlier this year, and the rehabilitated station was reopened.  In addition to that, a portion of the money collected will be donated to Breast Cancer Research.

Click here to get involved.

OAK PARK

In 1970, Jim Caron, a 1963 Fenwick High School grad, was traveling across the country in a Volkswagen bus covered in peace symbols.  It broke down in Missoula, Montana and that is where he stayed.  Later he went on to found the Missoula Children's Theatre.

Thirty years later, Pam Voth, a 1982 Oak Park-River Forest High School grad, left the corporate rat race in San Francisco, California and moved to Missoula in order to seek a career in wildlife film making.

The journeys of these two former Oak Park Residents have overlapped in a way that's charming audiences across the country.  Caron's children's theatre is now the focus of the award-winning documentary "The Little Red Truck," which was produced by Voth and is directed by her husband Rob Whitehair.

"The Little Red Truck" has received acclaim by both The New York Times and the Los Angeles Times for its warmth and unbeatable storyline chronicling the work of the theatre. 

Each year, Missoula Children's Theatre sends out a fleet of red trucks into 1,200 communities. The trucks are packed with everything needed to produce a professional musical in six days -- except a cast of 50 children.

Click here to read to read the article.

Please . . . let us know if you have a Chicago or Chicago Suburban Neighborhood Event you would like us to publicize for your organization.  Give us a minimum of two days notice, if you can.

Here's a link to Jennifer's Chicago Neighborhood News Blog Archive.

JENNIFER ARCAND & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO